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城市化对中国居民家电消费的影响
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TitleImpact of urbanization on residential household appliance in China  
作者林伯强 刘畅  
AuthorLin Boqiang and Liu Chang  
作者单位厦门大学 
OrganizationXIAMEN University 
作者Emailbqlin@xmu.edu.cn;liuchang1990s@126.com 
中文关键词扩散模型 收入分配 城市化 家电价格 
Key WordsDiffusion Model; Income Distribution; Urbanization; Electricity Appliance Price 
内容提要随着城市化、工业化进程的推进,经济发展水平的不断提升和人民生活水平的提高推动着中国居民部门的电力消费持续增长。不同于第二产业,居民部门的电力消费更多的取决于居民收入增长及其他因素带来的家用电器使用数量和使用时长的增加。本文利用家电扩散模型对1998-2012年中国30个省份的城镇居民消费的五类家电产品的面板数据进行实证分析,研究结果表明,居民收入、城市化率的提高对城镇居民家电拥有量有正的影响,而产品价格的提高有负的影响。随着城镇居民收入的提高,收入增加对居民购买家电的影响力逐渐减弱,而城市化水平的提升,对城镇居民购买家电的影响更加明显。城市化可以成为中国节能减排的新动力,在城市化发展过程中,政府应利用家电补贴政策及能效标准升级等措施刺激居民购置和替换家电,促进节能减排。 
AbstractWith the development of urbanization and industrialization, economic growth and the improvement of people's living standard contribute to continuous growth of China's resident electricity consumption. Different from the secondary industry, China's residential electricity consumption depends more on the increase in the quantity of household appliance and the time they work, which is driven by resident income growth and other factors. Based on the diffusion model, we conduct an empirical analysis of panel data of five kinds of appliance in China's 30 provinces during 1998-2012. Results show that rise in resident income and urbanization rate has a positive impact on the ownership of urban household appliances, while the increase in household appliance price has a negative impact. With the continuous growth in urban resident income, its impact on the purchase of household appliance gradually declines, while the influence of urbanization process is getting more and more obvious. The urbanization process may become a new impetus to China's energy conservation and emission reduction. Therefore, in the process of urbanization, the government can carry out policies on household appliance subsidy, energy efficiency upgrading to stimulate purchase and replacement of household appliance, in order to promote energy conservation and emission reduction. 
文章编号WP1050 
登载时间2016-04-08 
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