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金融危机、商业信用与企业存货波动
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TitleFinancial Crisis, Trade Credit and the Fluctuations of Enterprise Inventory  
作者王博 孙大超  
AuthorWang Bo and Sun Dachao  
作者单位南开大学金融学院;中国民生银行总行 
OrganizationNankai University; China Minsheng Bank 
作者Emailnkwangbo@nankai.edu.cn;best1129@126.com 
中文关键词金融危机 商业信用 企业存货波动 融资约束 
Key WordsFinancial Crisis; Trade Credit; Enterprise Inventory Fluctuations; Financial Constraints 
内容提要既有研究表明企业存货投资的周期性调整往往是引发宏观经济波动的重要原因,全面了解企业存货管理行为对于解释经济周期,熨平经济波动具有重要作用。本文采用工业企业数据库1999-2009年持续存活的19000多家企业,分析企业商业信用使用与存货管理之间的关系,以及危机时期的新特征,并通过划分企业产权性质,分析面临不同银行融资约束程度企业的不同表现,以试图更加全面的了解企业存货管理行为,探寻中国经济波动的原因。研究结果表明:(1)企业存货投资占比受到企业银行贷款以及应付账款可得性的制约,而这种限制对于私营企业以及中小企业更加明显。(2)企业商业信用供给具有明显的存货管理功能,与大型企业相比,存货管理能力较差的中小企更愿意通过提供商业信用来降低存货。(3)国际金融危机发生以后,企业商业信用收缩和危机之后外部不确定性增加两方面的综合作用导致危机之后企业存货出现大幅下降。因此,在危机救助时不应该只是考虑采取宽松的货币政策或者财政政策,而应该对不同规模企业采取量体裁衣式的针对性政策,并考虑逐步建立健全企业信用体制,以减少危机对商业信用供给的冲击,缓解企业存货波动。 
AbstractStudies have suggested that the cyclical adjustment of inventory investment tend to be the important reason for macroeconomic fluctuations, and a comprehensive understanding of enterprise inventory management behavior plays an important role on explaining the economic cycle and pressing economic fluctuations. Based on the database of more than 19000 industrial enterprises continue to survive from 1999 to 2000, this article analyzed the relationship between the enterprise trade credit use and inventory management, as well as new characteristics of crisis, and analyzed different performance of firms facing different degree of banking financing constraints through the division of enterprise property rights, trying to attain a more comprehensive understanding of the enterprise inventory management behavior and the causes of economic fluctuations. The results show that:(1)The proportion of enterprise inventory investment is constrained by bank loans and the availability of accounts payable, and this restrictions is more obvious for private enterprises and small and medium-sized enterprises(SMEs).(2) Enterprises’ trade credit supply has obvious function of inventory management, and compared with large enterprises, SMEs with poor inventory management ability are more willing to reduce inventory through the provision of trade credit.(3)After the international financial crisis, the comprehensive influence of enterprise trade credit contraction and outside uncertainty lead to a sharp decrease in enterprise inventory. Therefore, we should not only consider loose monetary policy or fiscal policy during crisis rescue, but should take corresponding policy, taking different targeted policies for enterprises with different scale, gradually establishing and improving the enterprise credit system, to reduce the crisis impact on trade credit supply, and to relieve the enterprise inventory fluctuations. 
文章编号WP998 
登载时间2015-12-22 
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