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新常态下产业转移的微观机制
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TitleThe Micro-Mechanism of Industrial Shifts Under New Normal  
作者朱江丽 沈坤荣 李子联  
AuthorZhu Jiangli, Shen Kunrong and Li Zilian  
作者单位南京大学;江苏师范大学 
OrganizationSchool of Journalism & Communication, Nanjing University;School of Business, Jiangsu Normal University 
作者Emailzhujl@nju.edu.cn;shenkr@nju.edu.cn;dlee@jsnu.edu.cn 
中文关键词企业迁移 劳动力流动 产业转移 
Key WordsFirm Migration; Labor Mobility; Industrial Shifts 
内容提要在经济结构调整的压力下中国正经历着新一轮以市场为主导的产业转移与区域布局。在此背景下,本文从企业与劳动力等微观主体自由流动的角度,揭示产业转移的微观动力与空间演化规律。研究发现:一是价格指数效应、市场需求效应以及竞争效应是影响企业迁移的重要因素,在当前环境下低技术企业投资对市场条件的反应更为灵敏;二是随着社会进步,相对于企业分布,劳动力偏好对劳动力流动决策的影响增大;三是当前劳动力异质性偏好增强与劳动力规模缩小促进了企业为追求劳动力市场而迁移;四是经济自由度的改善将推动产业集聚的局面从单一中心格局逐渐向多中心的格局发展。因此,这些结论对新常态下产业发展战略、人口管理与社会保障政策以及区域发展战略制定有着重要政策参考价值。 
AbstractChina experiences new market-oriented industrial shifts and regional pattern planning under the pressure of economic structure adjustment. Under this, this paper follows market rules, with the angle of firm migration and labor mobility, to reveal the micro-mechanism of industrial shifts and the evolution of spatial pattern. The study finds: firstly, price index effects, market demand effects and competition effects are main factors impacting firm migration, and yet in the economy of lower technology, low-tech firms are more sensitive to market conditions; secondly, labor flows are influenced by firms distribution and themselves’ preference, and the latter has larger impacts with the progress of society; thirdly, heterogeneous preference and the amount of labors have reverse influence on firm migration, and the stronger labor preference and the more decreasing labors will boost firms to go after labor markets; finally, though industrial agglomerations last for long term, firm migration will increase and then boost the transformation of regional pattern from single center to multi-centers. Therefore, these conclusions have significant reference values for industrial development strategy, population management and social security policy and regional development strategy. 
文章编号WP975 
登载时间2015-12-04 
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