中国的市场一体化——演变趋势、贸易方向与整合次序
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| Title | Market Integration of China ——Evolution Trend、Trade Direction and Integration Order
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| 作者 | 张少军 李善同 |
| Author | Zhang Shaojun and Li Shantong |
| 作者单位 | 厦门大学经济学院；国务院发展研究中心 |
| Organization | Xiamen University；Department of Development Strategy and Regional Economy |
| 作者Email | 54foxzhang@163.com |
| 中文关键词 | 边界效应 市场一体化 贸易方向 滚动时窗 整合次序 |
| Key Words | Border Effect; Market Integration; Trade Direction; Rolling Time Window; Integration Order |
| 内容提要 | 本文首次以中国5年30省份的投入产出表为主，建立了包括省内贸易、省际贸易与国际贸易等指标的三维数据库，随后采用“边界效应”方法测度了中国国际市场一体化与国内市场一体化的程度，结果发现：第一，尽管中国国际贸易获得了高速增长，但中国国际市场一体化的程度仍然低于国内市场一体化的程度。若将市场一体化程度理解为一种“等价关税”，则相当于对国外的产品征收了38.1%的关税；对国内其他省份的产品征收了19.3%的关税。第二，中国国内市场一体化的程度呈现出先下降后上升的趋势，可能反映了行政性地区间关系逐渐被市场性地区间关系所替代的进程。第三，贸易方向是影响中国市场一体化程度的重要因素，在出口与省际调出的方向上，中国国际市场一体化的程度高于国内市场一体化的程度；在进口与省际调入的方向上，则相反。第四，中国国内市场的整合次序，是先整合沿海地区再整合内陆地区，先整合中间品行业再整合最终品行业；其中，中国国内市场的行业整合次序与发达国家国内市场的行业整合次序是相反的。 |
| Abstract | Mainly in the input-output table of China's five years and 30 provinces, this paper first builds a database including intra-provincial trade, inter-provincial trade and international trade, etc. Based on method of border effect, this paper hereafter adopts this database to test international market integration and domestic market integration of China from 1987 to 2007.First, international trade of China gains explosive growth, but the degree of international market integration is still less than the degree of domestic market integration. If the degree of market integration is understood as an "equivalent tariff", foreign products are imposed as 38.1% tariff; other province’s products are imposed as 19.3 % tariff. Second, the degree of domestic market integration shows an upward trend after the first drop, the trend may reflect the shift of two forces between administrative relation and market relation among regions. Third, trade direction affects the size of border effect, the degree of international market integration is higher than the degree of domestic market integration in the direction of export and inter-provincial outflow; the degree of international market integration is less than the degree of domestic market integration in the direction of import and inter-provincial inflow. Finally, the integration order of domestic market of China is the first integration of coastal provinces, the re-integration of inland provinces; the first integration of intermediate goods industry, the re-integration of final product industry. The integration order of domestic industry market of China is reversed compared to the integration order of domestic industry market of developed country. |
| 文章编号 | WP908 |
| 登载时间 | 2015-08-07 |
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