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中国持续经济增长的阶段性动力解析与比较——基于禀赋、结构、与体制视角的检验
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TitleAnalyzing and Comparing Periodic Power of China’s Continuous Economic Growth  
作者靳涛 陶新宇  
AuthorJin Tao and Tao Xinyu  
作者单位厦门大学经济学院 
OrganizationInstitute of Economics, Xiamen University 
作者Email18959284581@126.com;854260065@qq.com 
中文关键词经济增长 动力机制 体制 结构 
Key WordsEconomic Growth; Dynamic Mechanism; Institution; Structure 
内容提要中国经济在改革开放30多年来取得了超常的持续增长,但近年来中国经济增长也出现了减速的势头,如何客观分析和把握中国经济增长的连续过程是国内外众多学者的关注目标。但从国内外许多研究来看,各种结论和分析众说纷纭,莫衷一是。本文从一般生产要素、结构因素和体制因素三个层次来考察新中国成立以来的中国经济增长,根据数据的特征用计量的方法对时间序列划分时间段,并根据自相关检验选择采用Prais WinstenAR(1)或最小二乘法(OLS)分别进行回归,从而解释各个时间段不同的经济增长动力机制。此外,本文还重点分析了各阶段人均GDP、结构指数与体制指数之间的相互关系。最后,根据阶段性动力的研究对中国下阶段经济增长提出一些积极的建议。 
AbstractSince the Reform and Opening up, China’s economic growth have achieved extraordinary and continuous growth. However, in recent years, China’s economy appeared to slow down. How to objectively analyze and grasp the continuous process of the economic growth is numerous domestic and international scholars’ focus. But from a lot of research at home and abroad, various opinions vary conclusion and analysis. This paper ,from general production factors, structural factors and institutional factors, examine China’s economic growth since the founding of new China. The paper, according to the features of data, divides the time sequence into periods by the method of measurement and do empirical test, to explain different growth mechanisms in each period. In addition, this article also analyzes the relationship among per capita GDP, structural index and institutional index. In the end, this paper, according to research of periodic power, puts forward some positive suggestions for next phase of China’s economic growth.  
文章编号WP905 
登载时间2015-07-28 
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