中国服务业生产率变动的差异及收敛性—基于区域和行业视角的比较分析
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| Title | The Disparity and Convergence of TFP Change in China’s Service Industry
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| 作者 | 王恕立 滕泽伟 刘军 |
| Author | Wang Shuli,Teng Zewei and Liu Jun |
| 作者单位 | 武汉理工大学；山西财经大学 |
| Organization | Wuhan University of Technology; Shanxi University of Finance and Economics |
| 作者Email | wangsl@whut.edu.cn；tengzewei1986@163.com；liuj1919@163.com |
| 中文关键词 | 服务业生产率 收敛 绝对 收敛 条件 收敛 比较分析 |
| Key Words | Productivity of Service Industry; convergence; Absolute convergence; Conditional convergence; Comparative Analysis |
| 内容提要 | 本文运用非参数的Malmquist生产率指数法分别测算了中国2000-2012年31个省市和2004-2012年服务业细分行业的服务业全要素生产率（TFP）变动情况，同时对TFP变动的区域和行业差异进行比较分析，并在此基础上运用趋同理论对服务业TFP的区域和行业增长进行了收敛性检验。研究表明：中国服务业TFP增长表现出了较大的区域和行业异质性，服务业TFP的区域变动要稍差于行业变动，服务业TFP增长的源泉主要是技术进步，利用效率的改善来提高服务业增长还有很大的余地。收敛检验表明，服务业TFP区域差异不存在 收敛，而行业差异存在显著的 收敛；服务业TFP区域差异只有东部表现出绝对 收敛趋势，且收敛速度明显小于行业绝对 收敛速度，其他地区TFP差异的内部差距正在扩大；全国和东、西部服务业TFP差异存在显著的条件 收敛，服务业TFP行业差异的条件 收敛速度小于全国和东部地区服务业TFP条件 收敛速度，大于西部地区服务业TFP条件 收敛速度，服务业各行业都将趋于各自的稳态水平。 |
| Abstract | Based on the provincial panel data from 2000-2012 and industry panel data from 2004-2012, the paper measures the TFP growth of service industry for China’s 31 provinces and services sub-sector industry by using nonparametricDEA-Malmquist productivity index method, and does a comparative analysis to the regional and industry disparity of TFP change. Then, we applied convergence theory to study the convergence of China’s service TFP change from the perspectives of regional and industry disparity. The result shows that the TFP growth of China’s service industry possessed greater heterogeneity of the regional and industry, and the regional change of service TFP growth was less than the industry change. The TFP growth in services mainly derives from technological progress, thus there still is a lot technical efficiency can do to improve the service growth. The convergence results indicated that convergence does not exist in the regional disparity of service TFP growth, but in the industry disparity. Only the east region has absolute convergence, and the speed of convergence was significantly smaller than the industry absolute convergence, while the gap of the TFP regional disparity in other areas was widening. All areas show significantly conditional convergence except for the middle region. The speed of the industry conditional convergence was smaller than the regional conditional convergence of east region, but bigger than that of west region. The service industries will tend to convergence their steady-state levels. |
| 文章编号 | WP776 |
| 登载时间 | 2014-12-10 |
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