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中国服务业出口的本地市场效应研究
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TitleResearch on the Home Market Effect of China’s Service Export  
作者毛艳华 李敬子  
AuthorMao Yanhua and Li Jingzi  
作者单位中山大学 
OrganizationSun Yat-sen University 
作者Emailmnsmyh@mail.sysu.edu.cn;jingzi20082008@163.com 
中文关键词服务贸易 服务业 本地市场效应 超常需求 引力模型 CEPA 
Key WordsService Trade;Service Industry;Home Market Effect;Idiosyncratic Demand;Gravity Model;CEPA 
内容提要近十年来中国服务贸易的出口规模与行业结构呈现出快速扩张和优化发展态势的理论机制是什么?本文对中国服务出口在服务全球化背景下寻求构建新型比较优势提出了全新的解释维度,即本地市场效应。本文通过模型的建构从理论上证明了“本地市场效应”的存在性,同时提出了一个融合“本地市场效应”和比较优势效应的检验模型,对区域服务贸易自由化的本地市场效应进行了实证研究。本文采用数量法估算了CEPA框架下区域服务贸易自由化的年度指数,利用超常需求法、引力模型检验了中国服务出口的本地市场效应及区域服务贸易自由化对本地市场效应的影响。结果发现,中国整体服务业出口、内地对香港的服务业出口均存在本地市场效应,而且本地市场效应对服务业出口的促进作用强于比较优势,生产性服务业的本地市场效应大于消费性服务业;区域服务贸易自由化对于本地市场效应的发挥有着明显的影响,提高服务贸易开放水平对本地市场效应具有更强的促进作用,分部门服务贸易自由化的水平不同对本地市场效应的促进作用也存在差异。本文有关服务业本地市场效应的证实对于我国服务贸易战略问题的解决提供了新思路,对于加快实施区域服务贸易自由化战略、深化服务业的制度创新和推进服务业与服务贸易的结构调整等具有重要的政策含义。 
AbstractChina's service export scale and industry structure present rapid expansion and favorable development situation in the past decade, then, what are their theoretical mechanisms? This paper puts forward new interpretation dimension for constructing new comparative advantages in the context of service globalization, which is called "home market effect". This paper proves the existence of "home market effect" through the construction of model theoretically, puts forward a test model that fuses "home market effect" and comparative advantage, and has also carried on the empirical research on home market effect of regional service trade liberalization. This paper uses quantity method to measure the degree of trade liberalization in service sectors about Chinese mainland for Hong Kong, China under CEPA; then, it uses idiosyncratic demand and gravity model to examine the home market effect of service export in Chinese mainland. The result shows that home market effect exists in Chinese mainland service export to both the world and Hong Kong. The role of home market effect in promoting service export is stronger than comparative advantage, and the home market effect of producer services is greater than the consumer services. Service trade liberalization has obvious effect on home market effect, and trade liberalization in different department has different home market effect. Based on the confirmation of home market effect, this paper provides a new train of thought for China's service trade strategy, which has important policy implications for speeding up the implementation of regional service trade liberalization strategy, deepening the market reform of services sector, and promoting the structural adjustment of service industry and service trade. 
文章编号WP767 
登载时间2014-11-25 
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