中国城镇化发展能缩小城乡收入差距吗？
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| Title | Can Urbanization Development Narrow Urban-rural Income Gap in China?
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| 作者 | 苏志伟 司登奎 徐胜 |
| Author | Su Chiwei,Si Dengkui and Xu Sheng |
| 作者单位 | 中国海洋大学经济学院 |
| Organization | School of Economics, Ocean University of China |
| 作者Email | cwsu7137@gmail.com，sidkfinance@gmail.com，xusheng@ouc.edu.cn |
| 中文关键词 | 城镇化 城乡收入差距 傅立叶函数 结构突变 收敛 |
| Key Words | Urbanization; Urban-rural Income Gap; Fourier Function; Structural Breaks; Convergence |
| 内容提要 | 本文在新古典二元经济理论框架下结合区域经济理论度量中国城乡收入差距，按照产业的耦合程度将我国30个省（市、自治区）划分为四个综合经济区，并利用Enders & Lee（2012）提出的灵活性傅立叶函数对我国省际城乡收入差距的收敛性进行检验，该方法对于捕捉到“U”形结构突变点和平滑突变点具有较高的检验“势”。研究结果发现我国城乡收入差距具有明显的区域异质性，具体为：我国大西南综合经济区的城乡收入差距具有稳定收敛的特点，该区域主要以“三农”发展为重点、放松对农民工就业的自由流动、推行反贫困机制和完善社会保障体系等方面提高农民的收入，二元结构发展模式被打破，符合中国城镇化进程中的发展特点，有利于缩小城乡收入差距。而我国大西北综合经济区、中南综合经济区（广东和海南除外）和中北综合经济区（陕西除外）的城乡收入差距均表现为发散的趋势，符合城乡二元经济结构的特征，意味着政府需采取相应措施来缩小城乡收入差距。 |
| Abstract | This paper combines new classical dual economic theory and regional economic theory to measure urban-rural income gap, dividing the 30 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) into four integrated economic areas. We use flexible Fourier function proposed by Enders and Lee (2012) to test the stability of inter-provincial urban-rural income gap, it has the high power to capture “U” shape structure and smooth point mutation. The empirical results show that the income gap between urban and rural is obviously heterogeneity in China; the income gap of Southwest integrated economic area is convergence and stable. The main features of convergence areas are focusing on developing agriculture, loosing the free flowing of migrant workers, implementing anti-poverty mechanism and improving the social security system to raise the income of farmers with narrowing urban-rural income gap in accordance with the characteristic of urbanization process, the dual structure development model was broken. The income gap of Northwest integrated economic area, South integrated economic area (except for Guangdong and Hainan) and North integrated economic area (except Shaanxi) show diverging trends, indicating that the diverging areas fit the dual economic structural theory. The government should take measures to reduce the urban-rural income gap in these regions. |
| 文章编号 | WP681 |
| 登载时间 | 2014-09-02 |
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