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中国增加值贸易隐含的要素流向扭曲程度分析
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TitleFactor Flow Distortions Embodied in China’s Trade in Value-Added  
作者程大中  
AuthorCheng Dazhong  
作者单位复旦大学世界经济系 
OrganizationDepartment of World Economy and Institute for World Economy, Fudan University 
作者Emailchengdz@fudan.edu.cn 
中文关键词增加值贸易 世界投入-产出表 HOV模型 贸易的要素含量 要素流向 
Key WordsTrade in Value-Added; World Input Output Database; HOV Model; Factor Content of Trade; Factor Flow 
内容提要本文基于HOV方法与最新发布的“世界投入-产出数据”(WIOD),多角度评估了中国增加值贸易隐含的要素流向扭曲程度,基本结论是:劳动力流向扭曲程度总体上低于资本,但前者在加重,后者在减弱;相对于进口,出口隐含的资本流向扭曲程度较高、劳动力流向扭曲程度则较低;相对于高技能劳动力,中低技能尤其是低技能劳动力的流向扭曲程度较低;相对于跟俄罗斯、印度和巴西等“金砖”国家的双边贸易,中国与美国、日本、韩国、德国和台湾等五个最重要贸易伙伴的双边贸易隐含的资本和劳动力要素流向扭曲程度相对较轻;受到中低技能特别是低技能劳动力要素流向扭曲影响的行业较少,贸易量较大的行业受到要素扭曲的影响较轻。由此得到两方面启示:一是在开放经济下促进本国贸易结构及其产业基础转型升级应基于国内相对于国外的要素禀赋结构优化升级,而不能仅仅囿于国内;二是要“搞对”国内外市场要素价格,使要素“跑对方向”,不仅需要推动国内市场化改革,还应该通过多边(如WTO框架)和双边/区域(如建立自贸区)途径推动贸易伙伴的市场化改革。 
AbstractDrawing upon the HOV framework and recently compiled World Input-Output Database (WIOD), this paper makes a multi-dimensional evaluation of factor flow distortions embodied in China’s trade in value-added. On the whole, the distortions are less serious in labor flows than in capital flows, but the former is worsening while the latter is improving. The distortions in capital flows are more profound in export than in import, but it is converse for labor flows. Compared with high-skilled labor, low- and medium-skilled and especially low-skilled labor is less distorted in the cross-border trade. Compared with China’s bilateral trade with the so-called BRICS economies such as Brazil, India, and Russia, China’s bilateral trade with the USA, Japan, South Korea, Germany and Taiwan, which are China’s major trade partners, is characterized by less distorted capital and labor movements. There are fewer sectors that are affected by distortions in low- and medium-skilled and especially low-skilled labor flows. Sectors with more trade are less affected by factor flow distortions. The implications are twofold: first, improving Chinese trade and industrial structures in the open economy should be based on the optimization and upgrading of domestic factor endowment structures relative to foreign economies; second, in order to “get prices right” for both domestic and international markets and make factors “flow in right directions”, it is necessary to pursue market-oriented reforms both in home and in trade partners through multilateral and bilateral/regional channels. 
文章编号WP654 
登载时间2014-08-12 
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