工作论文
当前位置:首页 > 工作论文
贸易的本地偏好之谜:中国悖论与实证分析
阅读全文         下载全文
TitlePuzzle of Home Bias About Trade: China Paradox and Empirical Analysis  
作者张少军  
AuthorZhang Shaojun  
作者单位厦门大学经济学院国际经济与贸易系 
OrganizationXIAMEN University 
作者Email54foxzhang@163.com 
中文关键词本地偏好 邻近偏好 引力模型 省级投入产出表 
Key WordsHome Bias; Adjacent Bias; Gravity Model; Provincial Input-Output Table 
内容提要本文首次以中国5年30省份的投入产出表为主,构建了包括省内贸易、省际贸易与国际贸易等指标的分省分行业的数据库。随后以引力模型为基础,本文首次全面系统的检验了中国贸易的偏好性,发现存在贸易本地偏好的“中国悖论”:即(1)从贸易总量上来看;(2)从出口渠道和进口渠道来看;(3)在控制了时间、省份和行业等个体效应后,以及从加入WTO之前与之后、沿海与内陆、中间品与最终品等3个维度进行分组检验来看,中国的贸易在国家层面上均不存在本地偏好;在省份层面上,也均不存在着本地偏好和邻近偏好。为此,中国应着力发展省内贸易与省际贸易,推动贸易的边远偏好与本地偏好、邻近偏好的再平衡,只有这样才可能帮助中国经济实现再平衡。 
AbstractMainly in the input-output table of China's five years and 30 provinces, this paper first builds a sub-provinces and sub-industries database including intra-provincial trade, inter-provincial trade and international trade,etc.Based on gravity model,this paper hereafter adopts this database to test trade bias of China comprehensively and systematically. This paper finds that China's trade does not hold home bias at the national level and does not also hold home bias and adjacent bias at the province level from the perspective of the total trade; and from the perspective of export and import; by the control of the individual effects of time, province and sector,as well as from the perspective of three grouped dimensions that is before and after joining the WTO, coastal and inland, intermediate goods and final goods. To this end, China should make efforts to develop intra-provincial trade and inter-provincial trade, promote the rebalancing between remote bias and home bias,adjacent bias.This is only way to help the China economy achieve rebalancing. 
文章编号WP436 
登载时间2013-04-26 
  • 主管单位:中国社会科学院     主办单位:中国社会科学院经济研究所
  • 经济研究杂志社版权所有 未经允许 不得转载     京ICP备10211437号
  • 本网所登载文章仅代表作者观点 不代表本网观点或意见 常年法律顾问:陆康(重光律师事务所)
  • 国际标准刊号 ISSN 0577-9154      国内统一刊号 CN11-1081/F       国内邮发代号 2-251        国外代号 M16
  • 地址:北京市西城区阜外月坛北小街2号   100836
  • 电话/传真:010-68034153
  • 本刊微信公众号:erj_weixin