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公共转移支付减少了贫困脆弱性吗?
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TitleDo Public Transfers Reduce Vulnerability?  
作者樊丽明 解垩  
AuthorFan Liming and Xie E  
作者单位上海财经大学,山东大学经济学院 
OrganizationShanghai University of Finance and Economics; School of Economics, Shandong University 
作者Emaillmfan@sdu.edu.cn,sdcyxe@sina.com 
中文关键词公共转移支付 贫困 贫困脆弱性 
Key WordsPublic Transfers; Poverty; Vulnerability 
内容提要本文利用两轮微观调查面板数据实证检验中国公共转移支付对家庭贫困脆弱性的影响。首先基于期望贫困的脆弱性理论计算出脆弱性,然后使用纠正选择性偏误的倾向值匹配得分倍差方法来检验公共转移支付的效应。结果显示,尽管贫困发生率呈现下降态势,但城乡家庭遭受贫困脆弱性的比例不容忽视;随着贫困线标准的提高,贫困发生率与脆弱性之间的差异越来越小;教育程度、家庭规模、就业状态、工作性质及地区变量同时同方向地影响到贫困及脆弱性;无论贫困线划在何处,公共转移支付对慢性贫困和暂时性贫困的脆弱性没有任何影响。 
AbstractThis paper empirically investigates the impact of public transfers on vulnerability. It makes use of two round panel household survey data. It adopt the vulnerability as expected poverty method for estimating vulnerability and use the difference-in-difference approach with propensity score matching adjustment in order to test the effect of public transfers on vulnerability.The main results is that even though the cross section data shows a positive pattern in lowering poverty over time for china, panel data shows the large amount of vulnerability that chinese people are subject to.The difference between poverty and vulnerability becomes smaller along with rising poverty line.Education, househould size,employment,work status and area have same effect on poverty and vulnerability simultaneously.Whatever the poverty line is, the impact of the public transfers has little impact on vulnerability of the transitory poor and the chronic poor. 
文章编号WP426 
登载时间2013-02-06 
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