工资率、“生育陷阱”与不可观测类型
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| Title | Wage Rate, the Mommy Trap and Unobserved Types
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| 作者 | 贾男 甘犁 张劼 |
| Author | Nan Jia, Li Gan and Jie Zhang |
| 作者单位 | 西南财经大学，德州农工大学 |
| Organization | Southwestern University of Finance and Economics; Texas A&M University |
| 作者Email | jianancandy@swufe.edu.cn |
| 中文关键词 | 工资率 生育陷阱 不可观测类型 混合密度估计 |
| Key Words | Wage Rate; the Mommy Trap; Unobserved Types; Mixture Density Estimation |
| 内容提要 | 中国目前存在严重的低生育率、性别比失调、老龄化等人口结构性问题，但是，目前的生育政策，还只是“生育供给”政策。一个完整的生育政策，也应该包括“生育需求”政策，这篇文章就是通过生育对女性收入的影响来研究家庭的生育需求。本文通过非线性转换和混合密度估计方法估计了不同类型的女性生育陷阱的不同影响程度，我们发现，生育对女性的工资收入在生育当年有显著的高达18%的负面影响，对外生类型的女性这一影响尤为显著，这显然会影响这部分女性的生育需求。 |
| Abstract | There are serious population structure problems in China like pretty low fertility rate, unbalanced sex ratio and aging. But the current fertility policy is only aimed at supply control, ignoring demand side of fertility. This paper studies fertility demand of household by examining effect of childrearing on female wage rate. We estimate different effects of different types of mothers using nonlinear transformation and mixture density model. We find that childrearing has 18% significantly negative effect on mothers’ wage rate in the year when women just give a birth. Exogenous type mothers has larger such effect, which would obviously affect fertility demand of female. |
| 文章编号 | WP399 |
| 登载时间 | 2012-11-20 |
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