长期增长过程的“结构性加速”与“结构性减速”：一种解释
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| Title | Structural Accelerating and Structural Decelerating in the Long Run Growth: An Exposition
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| 作者 | 袁富华 |
| Author | Yuan Fuhua |
| 作者单位 | 中国社会科学院经济研究所 |
| Organization | Institute of Economics, CASS |
| 作者Email | fuhua_yuan@sohu.com |
| 中文关键词 | 经济增长 结构性加速 结构性减速 |
| Key Words | Economic Growth; Structural Accelerating; Structural Decelerating |
| 内容提要 | 立足于Mitchell和Maddison的历史统计数据库，本文对发达国家增长因素进行了分析。尝试着说明以下事实，即1970年代以后发达国家经济增长的减速，与生产率增长的减速密切相关，而生产率的减速是由于产业结构服务化这种系统性因素造成的。为此，本文提出了长期增长过程中“结构性加速”与“结构性减速”的观点。相对于其他理论而言，这种观点对于中国的工业化和城市化问题具有更强、更直观的解释能力。 |
| Abstract | Based on the Mitchell’s international historical statistics and Maddison’s historical statistics, this paper analyzes the factors influenced the long run growth. The fact that the decelerating of GDP growth appeared in developed countries linked tightly with the decelerating of productivity growth, which caused by the service development. So, this paper illustrates the view of structural accelerating and structural decelerating in the long run growth, which has more explaining power than other theories to China’s industrialization and urbanization. |
| 文章编号 | WP228 |
| 登载时间 | 2012-02-21 |
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