能源价格波动对中国物价水平的潜在与实际影响
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| Title | The Potential and Actual Impact of Energy Price Increase to General Price Level in China
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| 作者 | 任泽平 |
| Author | Ren Zeping |
| 作者单位 | 国务院发展研究中心宏观经济研究 |
| Organization | Development Research Center of the State Council |
| 作者Email | |
| 中文关键词 | 能源价格波动 潜在影响 成本传导能力 实际影响 |
| Key Words | Energy Price Increase ; Potential Impact ; CTC; Actual Impact |
| 内容提要 | 本文将传统投入产出价格潜在影响模型与成本传导能力模型结合起来，创建了投入产出价格实际影响模型，该模型采用成本传导能力将价格潜在传导效应进行了缩减，较好地解决了传导阻滞问题。从国内外研究现状来看，投入产出价格实际影响模型是该领域的一项重要创新。实证检验表明，投入产出价格实际影响模型的测算结果符合现实。该模型是解决国际能源价格波动对我国物价水平冲击、能源价格改革对通胀和居民影响、重要能源产品调价效果模拟、提高工资和税收对通胀影响等问题的有力工具。 |
| Abstract | The paper establishes the input-output model of actual price influence by combining the model of transmission cost capacity (CTC) with the input-output model of potential price influence. In the existing literature, it is an innovation for the author to put forward the CTC model and the input-output model of actual price influence. The input-output model of actual price influence can solve the problem of transmission block, through reducing the potential price transmission effect by use of CTC. The paper studies the following issues: the potential and actual impact of energy price increase to the general price level in China. |
| 文章编号 | WP160 |
| 登载时间 | 2011-12-14 |
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