显性比较优势与美国对中国产品反倾销的贸易效应：经验研究
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| Title | The Trade Effects of Revealed Comparative Advantage and US Antidumping Actions against Chinese Products: An Empirical Rese
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| 作者 | 沈国兵 |
| Author | Shen Guobing |
| 作者单位 | 复旦大学经济学院 |
| Organization | Institute of World Economy, Fudan University |
| 作者Email | guobingshen@yahoo.com.cn |
| 中文关键词 | 显性比较优势 美国反倾销 中国 贸易效应 |
| Key Words | Revealed Comparative Advantage; US Antidumping Actions; China; Trade Effects |
| 内容提要 | 显性比较优势是中国产品频频遭受美国反倾销的魔咒吗？显性比较优势与美国对中国产品反倾销会产生怎样的贸易影响？本文选取1996-2009年美国对中国反倾销97起涉案产品为例，研究表明：（1）美国对中国产品反倾销主要集中在中国具有显著比较优势的涉案产品上，但二元选择模型证实，显性比较优势程度不是中国产品频频遭受美国反倾销的魔咒，涉案产品的美中贸易逆差是造成美国对中国产品反倾销占优的真正诱因，并且美国爆发的次贷危机外生加重了对中国产品的反倾销程度。（2）美国对中国产品反倾销调查产生显著不利的贸易调查效应，美国较高的初裁反倾销税率产生了不利的贸易限制效应。美国对中国反倾销带来的美国从中国涉案产品进口减少被中国产品显著比较优势带来的美国从中国涉案产品进口增加所抵补，结果显性比较优势与美国对中国产品反倾销交互项对美国从中国涉案产品进口产生正向贸易影响，这证实了显性比较优势程度促进中美双边贸易。 |
| Abstract | Is revealed comparative advantage (RCA) becoming an original sin of Chinese products suffered frequently from US antidumping (AD) actions? What trade effect does the interaction between RCA and US AD actions against Chinese products produce? Based on the 97 filed products of US AD actions against China between 1996 and 2009, the findings shows that first, the products of US AD actions against China are mostly converged on the filed products with remarkable comparative advantages for China. However, binary choice model proves that RCA intensity is not at all an original sin of Chinese products suffered frequently from US AD actions, whereas the US-China trade deficit of the filed products is real inducement dominating US AD actions against Chinese products. Moreover, the US subprime crisis exogenously aggravates the strength of US AD actions against China. Second, US AD investigations against Chinese products produce significant adverse trade investigation effects; US high preliminary AD duty rate produces the adverse trade restriction effects; the decrease in US imports from Chinese filed products, created by US AD actions against China, is covered by the increase in US imports, caused by the RCA of Chinese products, from Chinese filed products. As a result, the interaction between RCA and US AD actions against Chinese products gives rise to positive trade effect on US imports from Chinese filed products. This proves that RCA intensity can promote Sino-US bilateral trade.
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| 文章编号 | WP137 |
| 登载时间 | 2011-10-19 |
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